Paris Saint Germain vs RB Leipzig Free Betting Tips – Champions League
Paris Saint Germain and RB Leipzig play at Parc des Princes and there is a value bet, in a match of the UEFA Champions League (Group Stage). The record of recent head-to-heads favors the home team, which in the last 3 matches won 2 and lost 1. The last head-to-head between these two teams, at 24‑11‑2020, ended with Paris Saint Germain winning by (1-0).
After 1 win and 1 draw, the home team comes to this 3rd round in the 1st position of Group A, with 4 points won. In the previous round, they won at home against Manchester City, by (2‑0), after having tied by (1‑1) in the first match of this group stage, against Club Brugge. The team comes for this match after a home win against Angers SCO by (2‑1).
Paris Saint Germain has won 8 and tied 2 of the last 10 home matches for all competitions. Their offense has scored regularly, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In their matches there is a tendency towards goals, as in 31 of their last 36 matches at home there were Over 1.5 goals and in 26 of the last 36 there were Over 2.5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 6 times, but have turned the score around in 3. In the last 18 home matches for all competitions there are 1 periods that stand out: they have conceded 6 of their 15 goals between minutes 61′ and 75′.
What happened before the game for PSG?
It is a good idea to sum things up. Paris Saint Germain starts with a 2-1 victory against Angers, in a match counting for Ligue 1: the team’s goals were scored by Kylian Mbappé and Danilo Pereira. In the last round of the Champions League, the Parisians beat Manchester City 2-0. In this game against Leipzig, coach Mauricio Pochettino should keep the team in the usual tactical system, 4-3-3, favoring the maintenance of ball possession and organized attacks through the corridors. Striker Kylian Mbappé is the great highlight of Paris Saint Germain, who is very fast and strong when finishing. Out of this game are Juan Bernat and Sergio Ramos, both with physical problems.
After 2 losses, the visiting team came to this 3rd round in the 4th position of Group A, without having won any points. In the previous round, they lost at home against Club Brugge by (1‑2), after having lost by (6‑3) in the first match of this group stage against Manchester City. The team comes to this match after an away draw against SC Freiburg by (1‑1). In the last 10 away matches for all competitions, RB Leipzig has won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6. The team has conceded goals to the opponent in 7 of the last 10 matches, so their defense needs to improve, but their offense has been scoring with regularity, as they have managed to score in 9 of the last 10 matches. In 13 matches, they have conceded the first goal 7 times and never managed to turn the score around.
Is Leipzig a decent opponent for PSG?
RB Leipzig arrives for this game with an equal, in 1×1, on the trip to Freiburg, in a game counting for the Bundesliga: the only goal of the team was scored by Emil Forsberg. Note that the Germans lost the two games played in the Champions League. In this match against the French, coach Jesse Marsch should keep the 4-3-3 with Yussuf Poulsen being the loosest piece in the attacking front. On the other hand, forward Christopher Nkunku is one of the great dangers of RB Leipzig, a very fast player and competent in transporting the ball to attack. Outside this game are Marcel Halstenberg, Marcelo Saracchi, Dani Olmo and Brian Brobbey, all with physical problems.
What about math?
Mathematical football predictions for this match speak a clear language. 63% chance of PSG taking all 3 points, 22% chance of a draw and 15% for Leipzig being a surprise. We believe that Leipzig will not take all 3 points, but a draw is more than likely.
PSG – Win Odds: 1.30
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70
