Midtjylland – PSV – Champions League
Midtjylland and PSV Eindhoven face at MCH Arena, in a 2nd leg match of the UEFA Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round), after a (3‑0) home win by PSV in the 1st leg match. In this match, the home factor may play an important role, as Midtjylland has significant differences in the results achieved at home and as a visitor.
Midtjylland Analysis
After the defeat in the 1st leg, the home team comes to this decisive match at a disadvantage, as they have to recover 3 goals and have not scored any away goals in the previous match. This is a team affected by the home factor, stronger when they play in front of their fans, since in the last 30 matches they register 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with 20 goals scored and 25 conceded, against 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses at home, with 31 goals scored and 9 conceded. The team comes for this match after a home win against Vejle, by (4‑1). Midtjylland has won 8, tied 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 home matches. Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 8 of the last 10 matches, but their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored goals in 9 of the last 10 matches. In 15 matches, they have only turned the score around in the 7 matches they have conceded the first goal.
Midtjylland enters this match motivated after a home win, by 4-1, against Vejle, in a game counting for the Danish championship: the team’s goals were signed by Awer Mabil, Erik Sviatchenko, Gustav Isaksen and Anders Dreyer . Note that the Danes lost against PSV, by 3-0, in the first game of this Champions League tie. Contrary to the “enemy” of this round, the home club usually acts in a 3-4-3 tactical design, using three players in the front line: Awer Mabil, Anders Dreyer and Júnior Brumado. It’s foreseeable that the midfield is occupied by Paulinho, Charles, Evander and Joel Andersson. Coach Bo Henriksen can count on the usual players.
PSV analysis
The visiting team comes to this 2nd leg match with an advantage of 3 goals, but has conceded 0 goals at home in the 1st leg match. This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, they have similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 matches they register 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses in away matches, with a total of 35 goals scored and 20 conceded. At home, they won 11 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss, with a total of 38 goals scored and 14 conceded. In the last 10 away matches PSV Eindhoven has won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have managed to score in 9 of the last 10 matches. There is a tendency to have goals in their away games, as 29 of the last 31 matches they played ended with Over 1.5 goals. In 15 matches, they have conceded the first goal 4 times and have only turned the score around 1 time.
The team led by Roger Schmidt enters this clash motivated after a victory, by 3-0, against Midtjylland, in a game counting for the 1st match of the 3rd round of the Champions League. The Dutch club usually acts in a 4-3-3 tactical system, favoring a more offensive style of play, attacking through the side aisles. PSV is a team that likes to play in their midfield, with the objective of quickly recovering the ball and leaving in the quick transition to the attack moment. In this scheme, the three most advanced players will be: Cody Gakpo, Noni Madueke and Eran Zahavi. The visiting coach is likely to be without Maximiliano Romero, Maxime Delanghe and Richard Ledezma because they are injured.
PSV – Win Odds: 2.25
Both teams to score / YES – Odds: 1.70
Over 2.5 Goals – Odds: 1.70
