⚽️ Competition: DFB Cup 2021
🗓 Date: 02.02.2021
🥅 Betting Tips: Handicap: Victory away +2.5
⚽️ Odds: 1.81
💳 Stake: 7/10 units
Dortmund vs Paderborn Free Betting Tips – DFB Pokal 2021
The difficult mandatory victory instead of brilliant fireworks for BVB?
Do you remember the last meeting between Borussia Dortmund and SC Paderborn? On a memorable Friday evening at the end of November 2019, the BVB fans present in Signal Iduna Park could not believe their eyes when the East Westphalia were 3-0 up at the break and played what was probably the best half in their Bundesliga history.
Although the game still ended 3: 3, one or the other black and yellow player should go into the new edition on Tuesday with a bit of a burden. However, this does not change the fact that in the DFB Cup round of 16 between Dortmund and Paderborn, the odds of the best bookmakers are very clearly in favour of the Terzic team. Possibly even too clearly …
The fact is that despite the important 3-1 win over the weekend against FC Augsburg, BVB is still miles away from their top form. In the sixth competitive game after the turn of the year, Borussia only celebrated their third win and once again had more trouble than expected.
Although the SCP lags a bit behind its own claims in the table of the 2nd Bundesliga, the team of coach Steffen Baumgart only lost one of the last five matches. The bottom line is that we are far from giving a prediction of a problem-free victory for the hosts before the duel between Dortmund and Paderborn. Much more we expect another “patchwork” of the favourite and a rather narrow success.
Dortmund – Statistics & current form
Looking at the Bundesliga standings continues to cause discomfort at Borussia Dortmund. Although the black and yellow were finally able to win again on Saturday after only one point from three games, the team of coach Edin Terzic currently has to be satisfied with fifth place. The fans should be particularly bitter that the gap to Bayern has already grown to 13 points.
The main reason for the seven defeats they have already suffered in the national season so far is the still fragile defence. 27 goals conceded in 19 encounters are simply too many, especially if you look at the comparative figures of the direct competitors.
Looking back on the past 13 league games, there was only one single “to zero” victory. In twelve cases, a bet on “both meet” would have paid off. For the cup game on Tuesday between Dortmund and Paderborn, a tip on at least one goal on both sides can also be included in your own betting portfolio.
Dortmund’s runaway victories in the cup recently rather nil
Alternatively, it is conceivable to use a betting market that limits the amount of Dortmund’s success. Already in the second round of the cup competition, Borussia struggled to a 2-0 win in Braunschweig. The last success with at least three goals ahead dates from November 2020. In the DFB Pokal, none of the last eleven direct duels with a first or second division team were won with more than two goals.
In view of the still limited self-confidence, the not really stable defense and the general lack of security in one’s own game, we, therefore, expect another tough fight on Tuesday evening and no playful glamorous exclamation mark! Bürki, Hazard, Meunier, Schmelzer, Witsel and Zagadou are injured. Stress-controlling changes in the starting eleven cannot be ruled out, although Coach Terzic must not take the risk of missing the quarter-finals in the current tense phase.
The probable lineup of Dortmund:
Hitz – Morey, Akanji, Hummels, N. Schulz – Delaney – Sancho, Brandt, Reus, Reyna – Haaland
Last matches from Dortmund:
Bundesliga
⚽️ 01/30 2021 Borussia Dortmund 3 – 1 Augsburg
⚽️ 01/22 2021 Borussia Monchengladbach 4 – 2 Borussia Dortmund
⚽️ 01/19 2021 Bayer Leverkusen 2 – 1 Borussia Dortmund
⚽️ 01/16 2021 Borussia Dortmund 1 – 1 Mainz 05
⚽️ 01/09 2021 RB Leipzig 1 – 3 Borussia Dortmund
Paderborn – Statistics & current form
Like the people in charge at Borussia Dortmund, the decision-makers at SC Paderborn will not be satisfied with the season so far. Actually, the relegated Bundesliga had decided to get involved again and possibly intervene in the fight for a direct return to the House of Lords, but the reality is different.
With only 26 points collected, the East Westphalia are in the grey average of the 2nd Bundesliga and are already ten points behind the third-placed. The unbeaten series, which had previously lasted four games, came to an abrupt end at the weekend in the 1: 3 defeat at Hamburger SV. For the third time, the Baumgart team conceded more than two goals this season. Unlike in the previous year, the defensive in the lower house has stabilized somewhat.
Via Union Berlin and Dortmund again into the quarter-finals
How dangerous the blue-blacks actually are, they underlined, among other things, in the second round of the DFB Cup, when Srbeny, Michel and Co. surprisingly won 3-2 at Union Berlin. For comparison: Neither BVB nor FC Bayern or Bayer Leverkusen could celebrate a victory at the Alte Försterei.
Since we assess the SCP as a team that can be dangerous to many opponents on good days and also positively classify that the underdog has nothing to lose at all, we are aiming on Tuesday evening between Dortmund and Paderborn predicts a close game. Already in 2017/2018 and 2018/2019, the ex-Bundesliga club was able to advance to the quarter-finals of the DFB Cup, so this time too?
The probable lineup of Paderborn:
Zingerle – Dörfler, Hünemeier, Schonlau, Collins – Schallenberg, Thalhammer – Führich, Srbeny, Antwi-Adjei – Michel
Last matches from Paderborn:
2. Bundesliga
⚽️ 01/30 2021 Hamburger SV 3 – 1 Paderborn
⚽️ 01/27 2021 Paderborn 1 – 1 Holstein Kiel
⚽️ 01/23 2021 Paderborn 1 – 0 Würzburger Kickers
⚽️ 01/15 2021 Greuther Fuerth 1 – 1 Paderborn
⚽️ 01/10 2021 Paderborn 2 – 1 Erzgebirge Aue
Dortmund vs Paderborn – Direct comparison / H2H balance
In the games between Borussia Dortmund and SC Paderborn, you never had to complain about too few goals. In the six competitive games in the Bundesliga and the DFB Cup, there were an average of almost six goals per game.
The two most recent direct duels did not fall out of the ordinary either, because last season the clubs at Signal Iduna Park separated with a 3: 3 draw, as mentioned at the beginning. In the second leg, BVB had the upper hand 6-1.
The highest victory, however, dates from the second round of the 2015/2016 cup, when the black and yellow team even won 7-1 at home. Haaland and Co. are far from a similar fireworks display in their current form.
Dortmund vs Paderborn betting odds in comparison
🥅 Betting Tips: Dortmund
⚽️ Odds: 1.1
🥅 Betting Tips: Draw
⚽️ Odds: 9
🥅 Betting Tips: Paderborn
⚽️ Odds: 20
Dortmund vs Paderborn Free Betting Tips by CoreBet Tipsters
When Sven Hannawald triggered the round of 16 pairings of the DFB Pokal in December, some memories should have come up at SC Paderborn. Positive as well as negative. But because there are certainly less complicated tasks in the round of the last 16 than an away game at Signal Iduna Park, the former ski jumping Croesus was forced to give SCP coach Steffen Baumgart a beloved cheesecake as compensation.
From a purely sporting point of view, it is absolutely understandable that Dortmund is considered a big favourite against Paderborn according to the betting odds. After all, the fifth in the Bundesliga meets the ninth in the 2nd Bundesliga. But we don’t paint such a clear picture before kick-off. The reason is, on the one hand, the continued lack of consistency at BVB and, on the other hand, the lack of stability on their own defensive.
Key facts – Dortmund vs Paderborn tips
🥅 Dortmund have not celebrated a win by more than two goals since November
🥅 The SCP won in the second round away from Union Berlin
🥅 A whopping 34 goals were scored in the six competitive matches!
In addition, it should be taken into account that the guests from East Westphalia have made it to the quarter-finals in the DFB Cup twice in the last four years and again underlined their status as a favourite scare in the current season in round two with the 3-2 win at Union Berlin. Whether it will ultimately be enough for an away win remains to be seen, but a contested duel does not seem unlikely.
