Chelsea – Everton
Chelsea and Everton face off at Stamford Bridge, in a match in the 17th round of the Premier League. The history of head-to-heads played at this stadium favors the home team, who in the last 5 matches won 4 and drew 1. Indeed, in the last match at this stadium, for the Premier League, in 08‑03‑2021, Chelsea won by ( 2‑0). Chelsea’s goals were scored by B. Godfrey (31′ Autogolo) and Jorginho (65′ ). It is necessary to analyze with special attention the home/away condition, as Chelsea have different results at home and away.
Chelsea analysis
The home team is currently in 3rd place, with 36 points won, after 11 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses. In the penultimate match, they lost in an away match against West Ham United, by (3‑2). In the last match, they won at home against Leeds United, by (3‑2). Curiously, this is a team that presents better results away than at home, since in the last 30 matches they register 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses in away matches, with 27 goals scored and 13 conceded, against 8 wins, 6 draws and 1 defeat at home, with 35 goals scored and 11 conceded. For the championship, Chelsea won 17 points out of a possible 24, after 5 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in the last 8 games they played in their stadium.
In this competition, they haven’t lost any of the last 5 home matches. In the matches played at their stadium for the championship, the most frequent result at the end of the first 45′ was 1‑0, which was verified in 3 of their 8 matches. Their offense has scored consistently, as they have scored at least one goal in each of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals in their home matches, as 7 of the last 8 matches they played for this competition ended with Over 1.5 goals. This is a team that often scores first: they opened the scoreboard in 13 of their last 16 games for the Premier League, of these 13 they reached halftime with an advantage in 9 and managed to maintain the advantage until the end of the 90′ in 10. There are 1 periods featured in the last 20 home matches in all competitions: they have conceded 5 of their 14 goals between minutes (61’‑75′).
The team led by coach Thomas Tuchel enters this match motivated after a beautiful victory at home, by 3-2, against Leeds: Mount and Jorginho scored the goals of the triumph. The “Blues” usually act in a tactical system in 5-2-3, favoring quick transitions, mainly through the wings, and the three most advanced men should be Mason Mount, Timo Werner and Kai Havertz. However, the home team can also play soccer in possession, advancing on the ground through short passes. Apparently, the home coach will not be able to count on Mateo Kovacic and Ben Chilwell as they are in the medical department.
Everton Analysis
After 5 wins, 3 draws and 8 losses, the away team is in the 14th position, having won 18 points. In the penultimate match, they won at home, in a match against Arsenal, by (2‑1). This is a team little affected by the home factor, that is, they have similar results at home and away, since in the last 30 matches they register 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 losses in away matches, with a total of 13 goals scored and 27 conceded. At home, they won 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats, with a total of 19 goals scored and 23 conceded. In the last 8 away league matches Everton has a record of 1 win, 2 draws and 5 losses, so they have won 5 points out of 24 possible.
In this competition, they have lost the last 4 away matches and haven’t won any of the last 6 away matches. In their away league matches, the most frequent result at half-time was 1‑0 (4 out of 8 matches). Defensive consistency hasn’t been their best feature, as they have conceded goals in 9 of the last 10 matches for this competition. There is a tendency for goals to be scored in their away matches, as 7 of the last 8 matches they played for this competition ended with Over 1.5 goals. This is a team that rarely scores first and that only managed to open the score in 4 of their last 16 games in the Premier League, of these 4 they reached halftime ahead in 2 and won in the late 90′ in 2. In 16 games in this competition, only managed 3 turnaround on the scoreboard in the 11 matches in which they conceded the first goal.
Everton comes unmotivated for this match after an away defeat, by 3-1, in a trip to the Crystal Palace stadium. It’s foreseeable that the visiting team will act in a 4-3-3, where the three men who will be responsible for playing a more offensive role are Richarlison, Andros Townsend and Demarai Gray. One of Everton’s biggest weaknesses has been their defensive consistency, as they have conceded goals very easily. Coach Rafael Benítez won’t be able to count on Dominic Calvert-Lewin, André Gomes and Yerry Mina for meeting in, at this stage, recovering from injury.
OVER 2.5 GOALS – Odds: 1.80
