⚽️ Match: Bayern vs Dortmund
⚽️ Competition: Super Cup
🗓 Date 09/30/2020
💡 Betting Tips: Draw-no-bet: 2
📈 Odds: 5
💳 Stake: 3/10 units
Bayern vs Dortmund Free Betting Tips – Supercup Germany 2020
Does the BVB kindergarten grow with its tasks?
Annoying hassle or prestigious title chance? It is often this fine line that sums up the importance of the national Supercup quite aptly. Even if the football fans usually look forward to a high-class match with a “do-or-die” character, the coaches, in particular, are often divided about the commercially and media-hyped meeting between champions and cup winners due to the excessive stress.
Since the Munich team as a double winner logically need an opponent on Wednesday evening, the reigning runner-up moves up.
With seven titles, the southern Germans are currently the record winners of the Supercup. The defending champion, however, is BVB, who surprisingly won 2-0 last season and also won the trophy for the sixth time. In six of the last eight years, these two teams faced each other – the balance sheet is balanced with three triumphs each.
Nevertheless, it is of course understandable that in the upcoming duel Bayern against Dortmund a tip on the host is considered more likely, although the Flick at the weekend at 1: 4 at TSG Hoffenheim again a stadium as a loser for the first time after a (felt) eternity left. Apropos stadium. Unfortunately, no spectators will be allowed in the Allianz Arena on Wednesday evening. The Supercup final therefore rises in front of empty ranks.
⚽️ Betting Tips: Over 1.5 (1st HT)
🥅 Odds: 1.97
Direct comparison / H2H balance
The national Supercup has been one of the Westphalia’s favorite competitions in recent years. Four of the seven finals since 2009 were won by the black and yellow; all against Bayern Munich, by the way.
In the Bundesliga, on the other hand, there was nothing to be gained for Dortmund in the recent past. In the Allianz Arena, in particular, BVB was usually completely lost. The review of the last five away games in Munich shows a balance of zero points and 2:24 goals (!). Nevertheless, there are different conditions on Wednesday. Maybe the Favre can calculate more chances due to the lack of spectators and the title game character.
Bayern – Statistics & current form
The football world had to wait well over ten months for this. Last Sunday the time had come. FC Bayern Munich lost their very first competitive game since December 7th, 2019, and thus demonstrated human traits. After a series of 32 cross-competition games without defeat, it was a deserved 1: 4 bankruptcy in Sinsheim at TSG Hoffenheim, which could, however, be classified correctly.
Because the Munich team was still active in the European Supercup final on Thursday evening and won it after an extensive extra-time against Sevilla, the men of coach Hansi Flick looked physically and mentally tired. In addition, the triple coach left some top performers on the bench from the start, which ultimately took revenge. Despite this slip-up, a look at the betting base odds comparison underscores that a prediction for the home side is obvious between Bayern and Dortmund.
FC Bayern shows human traits
However, it should be thought that the issue of fatigue could play a major role again on Wednesday. FCB is playing the fourth competitive game in ten days and is currently known to have a too-thin squad that cannot cushion this high level of stress. Many players will therefore be forced to go to and over their own limit one more time.
In addition, Borussia surely sat on the couch at home on Sunday and saw how the record champions’ extremely high defensive position can be problematic. Hansi Flick, for whom it is the first Supercup final, will make one or two changes in terms of personnel. Sané and Boateng threaten the bank as well as Tolisso. Goretzka, Süle, and Coman could move into the starting line-up. We also expect Lewandowski from the start, of course. Incidentally, the Pole is the record scorer in the Supercup with five goals.
The probable lineup of Bayern:
↪️ Neuer; Pavard, Süle, Alaba, Davies; Kimmich, Goretzka; Gnabry, Müller, Coman; Lewandowski
Last games from Bayern:
⚽️ 09/27 2020 Hoffenheim 4 – 1 Bayern Munich
UEFA Super Cup
⚽️ 09/24 2020 Bayern Munich 2 – 1 Sevilla
⚽️ 09/18 2020 Bayern Munich 8 – 0 Schalke 04
Champions League finals
⚽️ 08/23 2020 Paris Saint-Germain 0 – 1 Bayern Munich
⚽️ 08/19 2020 Lyon 0 – 3 Bayern Munich
Dortmund – Statistics & current form
Dortmund and the bad M-word. It was almost exactly a year ago when Marco Reus settled the accounts in an interview with the media and reprimanded them for accusing his team of a lack of mentality. The decisive factor was a 2-2 draw against Eintracht Frankfurt in September 2019. Twelve months later, the mentality question is asked again at Borussia. The reason for this was the weak appearance of black and yellow on Saturday in Augsburg.
After a remarkable and promising start in the 3-0 home win against Borussia Mönchengladbach, BVB had a pitch-black day in the Fuggerstadt and lost 2-0. It was the lack of penetration in the offensive that coach Lucien Favre must have prepared one or the other sleepless night. The defensive, which once again seemed insecure, with Bürki as the goalkeeper, got its “fat off” after the final whistle.
Which face will the Favre team show on Wednesday?
Although the 2020/21 season is only two-game days old, it can already be stated that the Dortmund talent pool has two faces. If the numerous youngsters catch a good day and play carefree, every opponent in Europe can be careful. However, if there is a lack of attitude or willingness to take defensive paths, Borussia can also lose to any Bundesliga club.
What on the one hand can be seen as an almost incalculable risk, inevitably also offers a great opportunity. For next Wednesday, for example, we believe that Sancho, Haaland, and Co. will pull together and play a good match. In view of this subjective assessment, the extremely high odds of a BVB success in the Supercup between Bayern and Dortmund are extremely interesting.
It is quite possible that Favre will opt for a little more experience in the starting XI on Wednesday. This would mean that Reus for Reyna and Brandt for Bellingham join the team. The Swiss football teacher, who is once again criticized, will not change anything in the much-discussed triple chain.
The probable lineup of Dortmund:
↪️ Bürki; Can, Hummels, Akanji; Meunier, Brandt, Witsel, Guerreiro; Sancho, Reus; Haaland
Last matches from Dortmund:
⚽️ 09/26 2020 Augsburg 2 – 0 Borussia Dortmund
⚽️ 09/19 2020 Borussia Dortmund 3 – 0 Borussia Monchengladbach
⚽️ 09/14 2020 MSV Duisburg 0 – 5 Borussia Dortmund
Club friendship games
⚽️ 09/07 2020 Borussia Dortmund 2 – 1 Sparta Rotterdam
⚽️ 08/28 2020 Borussia Dortmund 1 – 3 Vfl Bochum
Bayern vs Dortmund Free Betting Tips Provided by CoreBet Tipsters
The thesis that Borussia Dortmund played their best games against strong teams in the recent past can actually be statistically proven up to a certain point. At Bayern Munich in the Allianz Arena, the yellow-blacks couldn’t get anything recently. Worse still: The record champions literally looked like a Christmas goose (24-2 goals) from their long-standing rivals in the last five Bundesliga home games.
Therefore, among other things, it is hardly surprising that before the Supercup final Bayern vs. Dortmund’s betting odds clearly turn out in the direction of the Flick team. Although the 1: 4 bankruptcy of the triple winner at the weekend should not be overrated, it can at least be questioned whether Munich will be able to deliver absolute top performance in their fourth competitive game within ten days.
Key facts – Bavaria vs Dortmund tips
💫 Bayern lost at the weekend for the first time after 32 unbeaten competitive games in a row
💫 BVB presented itself as a surprise bag on the first two match days
💫 Dortmund won four of the last seven Supercup finals of these clubs
Because we would rather answer this question in the negative and, among other things, argue that the Supercup finals have mostly been tight and sometimes surprising processes in recent years, we see the Borsigplatz lucky bag by no means without a chance. The speed and the existing quality of Sancho, Haaland, and Co. could definitely cause problems for a tired-looking FCB team.
Even if we give the home side a higher chance of victory than BVB, the tip between Bayern and Dortmund that the outsider will succeed has a very attractive value.